Biden now has an 87% chance of winning. The Dems have a 74% chance of controlling the Senate. Some key Senate races: Greenfield has a 56% chance of beating Ernst in IA; Cunningham has a 64% chance of beating Tillis in NC; Gideon has a 63% chance of beating Collins in ME; Kelly has a 78% chance of being McSally in AZ; a Dem has a 55% chance of beating a Rep in a GA special election.

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